Wednesday, October 28, 2015

2015 NAEP release and WA State

The National Assessment of Educational Progress results for 2015 showed an overall decline for the first time in decades.

Here is how Washington did in 2015
NAEP average scores:

(246) 245 Washington Math grade 4 (2013) 2015
(241) 240 Nation Math grade 4

(290) 287 Washington Math grade 8 (2013) 2015
(284) 281 Nation Math grade 8

(225) 226 Washington Reading grade 4 (2013) 2015
(221) 221 Nation Reading grade 4

(272) 267 Washington Reading grade 8 (2013) 2015
(266) 264 Nation Reading grade 8

WA had a statistically significant drop in
grade 8 math (-3)
grade 8 reading (-5)

How will this be spun?

Looking at NAEP overall WA did worse in 2015 than in 2013
Looking at ranking of states WA is definitely worse.

Here is a link to the Urban Institute's NAEP 2015 demographic adjustment.

eyeballing NAEP 2015 WA is about 10th.
After demographic adjustment of all states
WA ranks 20th.

NAEP 2013 WA was ranked 7th
After demographic adjustment of all states
WA ranked 13th.

Massachusetts is still ranked #1 before and after adjustment.

After demographic adjustment Arizona now ranks above WA.

The after adjustment score rankings for (2013) and 2015 are below

(13) - 20 -Washington State
(30) - 24 -Common Core heavy Kentucky is 24th
(17) - 17 -Common Core heavy New York is 17th

Remember this is a comparative ranking and nearly every state did worse in 2015 than in 2013... Thus although NY appears to be the same ranked at 17th, NY NAEP performance went down from 2013 to 2015.

NY Times reports:

Nationwide Test Shows Dip in Students’ Math Abilities

For the first time since 1990, the mathematical skills of American students have dropped, according to results of a nationwide test released by the Education Department on Wednesday.
The decline appeared in both Grades 4 and 8 in an exam administered every two years as the National Assessment of Educational Progress and sometimes called “the nation’s report card.”

Most amusing listening to Arne "Common Core" Duncan try to spin this.

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