Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Aki Kurose grade inflation UpDate

2012 data added:

So what's up at Aki Kurose?

Looks like perhaps there is Admin pressure to give higher grades than warranted.
Reliability = MSP math pass rate / ready for HS Math

2011-2012:
29.3% pass 8th grade MSP ... but District says 90% ready for high school math in grade 9
Reliability = 29.3/90 = 32.6%

2010-2011:
36.4% pass 8th grade MSP ... but District says 77% ready for high school math in grade 9
Reliability = 36.4/77 = 47.3%

2009-2010:
34.8% pass 8th grade MSP ... but District says 73% ready for high school math in grade 9.
Reliability = 34.8/73 = 47.7%

================
Is the plan of the SPS to use inflated grades to deceive parents about their child's level of math achievement?
So what does ready for high school math mean?

Now it is clear why the SPS adopted "Discovering Algebra". Too few students are ready for high school math.

Monday, November 19, 2012

Low Income Math Pass rates in grade 8


 WOW!!! Year 2012 produced some disturbing results for Low Income students in 8th grade math at several Seattle Middle Schools... as well as some very encouraging results at Denny and Mercer. Lets take a look at low income student 8th grade MSP Math pass rates.

 8th Grade Math Low Income Students
Year ... :: District :: State (difference)
2009-10 MSP :: 41.5% :: 35.8% (+5.7)
2010-11 MSP :: 44.8% :: 34.8% (+10.0)
2011-12 MSP :: 46.5% :: 40.9% (+5.6)

 MSP MATH SY 2009-2010 School
MSP ALL :: Low Income Student Math pass rate
 Eckstein 84.1 ................:: 61.1
Whitman 74.8 .................:: 48.5
Hamilton 62.1 ................:: 35.6
Denny 56.9 .................. :: 46.8
 Mercer 57 .................. :: 47.1
Aki K 34.8 .................. :: 32.4

SY 2010-2011 School
MSP ALL :: Low Income Student Math pass rate
Eckstein 80.1 .................. 54.4
 Hamilton 70.8 .................. 46.1
Whitman 66.4 .................. 38
Denny 66.8 .................. 59.9
 Mercer 60.7 .................. 55.8
Aki K 36.4 .................. 36

SY 2011-2012 School MSP ALL :: Low Income Student Math pass rate
Eckstein 80.0 .................. 45.9
Hamilton 76.7 .................. 49.2
Whitman 60.5 .................. 24.7
Denny 69.8 .................. 58.6
Mercer 75.5 .................. 69.0
Aki K 29.3 .................. 27.0

SY 2011-2012 School MSP ALL :: Low Income Student Math pass rate
Eckstein 80.0 .................. 45.9
8th Math Low Income Year ... :: School :: District :: difference :: % at Low-Income
2009-10 MSP 61.1% 41.5% (+19.6) :: 15.2%
2010-11 MSP 54.4% 44.8% (+9.6) :: 22.1%
2011-12 MSP 45.9% 46.5% (-0.6) :: 24.8%

 Hamilton 76.7 .................. 49.2
8th Math Low Income Year ... :: School :: District :: difference :: % at Low-Income
2009-10 MSP 35.6% 41.5% (-5.9) :: 35.2%
2010-11 MSP 46.1% 44.8% (+1.3) :: 27.5%
2011-12 MSP 49.2% 46.5% (+2.7) :: 19.0%

Whitman 60.5 .................. 24.7
8th Math Low Income Year ... :: School :: District :: difference :: % at Low-Income
2009-10 MSP 48.5% 41.5% (+7.0) :: 24.7%
2010-11 MSP 38.0% 44.8% (-6.8) :: 29.4%
2011-12 MSP 24.7% 46.5% (-23.8):: 30.1%

Denny 69.8 .................. 58.6
 8th Math Low Income Year ... :: School :: District :: difference :: % at Low-Income
 2009-10 MSP 46.8% 41.5% (+5.3) :: 65.4%
2010-11 MSP 59.9% 44.8% (+14.1) :: 67.3%
2011-12 MSP 58.6% 46.5% (+12.1):: 67.1%

 Mercer 75.5 .................. 69.0
 8th Math Low Income Year ... :: School :: District :: difference :: % at Low-Income
 2009-10 MSP 47.1% 41.5% (+5.6) :: 75.4%
2010-11 MSP 55.8% 44.8% (+11.0) :: 77.3%
2011-12 MSP 69.0% 46.5% (+12.5):: 75.2%

Aki K 29.3 .................. 27.0
8th Math Low Income
Year ........ :: School :: District :: difference :: % at Low-Income
2009-10 MSP 32.4% :: 41.5% (-9.1) :: 82.3%
2010-11 MSP 36.0% :: 44.8% (-12.8) :: 87.1%
2011-12 MSP 27.0% :: 46.5% (-19.5):: 86.5%

Really disturbing 8th grade results at AKI but at grade 7 in 2012 the exact opposite

7th Math Low Income
Year ... :: School :: District :: difference :: % at Low-Income
2009-10 MSP 32.5% :: 44.7% (-12.7)
2010-11 MSP 22.8% :: 45.8% (-23.0)
2011-12 MSP 44.6% :: 50.4% (-5.8)

Aki has had really high rates of Math Teacher turn over. Why was 7th grade math teacher Terri Barber not offered a contract after teaching one year at Aki?
 How does the Principal at AKI determine which math teachers stay and which leave at AKI? .... She placed TFA teachers at AKI .. so I guess they all stay.

7th grade math Low Income at AKI      
Year    ...........School    District    State

2009-10 MSP    32.5%    44.7%    39.2%
2010-11 MSP    22.8%    45.8%    41.3%
2011-12 MSP    44.6%    50.4%    45.1%

Monday, March 26, 2012

Seattle Grade Inflation : Middle School Math

This is an update to January 4, 2011 on this subject.

From SPS School reports on 8th graders ready for high school math from the Official SPS School Report cards

Reliability of school evaluation as ready for High School math calculated by WA State 8th grade MSP Math pass rate divided by Percent ready for high school math.

Tables sorted by Low Income % from smallest to highest
which shows connection to greater grade inflation as school poverty increases.

SY 2009-2010
School ...... MSP :Ready HS : reliability : LowIncome %
Eckstein ..... 84.1 ..... 92 ::...:: 0.91 ::: 15.2
Whitman ... 74.8 ..... 83 ::...:: 0.90 ::: 24.7
Hamilton ... 62.1 ..... 77 ::...:: 0.81 ::: 35.2
Denny ........ 56.9 ..... 76 ::...:: 0.75 ::: 64.4
Mercer ....... 57.0 ..... 86 ::...:: 0.66 ::: 75.4
Aki Kurose .. 34.8 ..... 73 ::...:: 0.48 ::: 82.3


SY 2010-2011
School ...... MSP ::Ready HS : reliability : LowIncome %
Eckstein ..... 80.1 ..... 97 ::...:: 0.83 ::: 22.1
Hamilton ... 70.8 ..... 85 ::...:: 0.83 ::: 27.5
Whitman ... 66.4 ..... 86 ::...:: 0.77 ::: 29.4
Denny ........ 66.8 ..... 92 ::...:: 0.73 ::: 67.3
Mercer ....... 60.7 ..... 87 ::...:: 0.70 ::: 77.3
Aki Kurose .. 36.4 ..... 77 ::...:: 0.47 ::: 87.1

So what's up at Aki Kurose?

Looks like perhaps there is Admin pressure to give higher grades than warranted.

2010-2011 36.4% pass 8th grade MSP ... but District says 77% ready for high school math in grade 9

2009-2010 34.8% pass 8th grade MSP ... but District says 73% ready for high school math in grade 9.

================
Is the plan of the SPS to use inflated grades to deceive parents about their child's level of math achievement?
So what does ready for high school math mean?

Now it is clear why the SPS adopted "Discovering Algebra". Too few students are ready for high school math.

================

Lets take a look at low income student 8th grade MSP Math pass rates.
MSP MATH
SY 2009-2010
School MSP :: Low Income Student Math pass rate
Eckstein 84.1 .................. 61.1
Whitman 74.8 .................. 48.5
Hamilton 62.1 .................. 35.6
Denny 56.9 .................. 46.8
Mercer 57 .................. 47.1
Aki K 34.8 .................. 32.4
ALL Students

SY 2010-2011
School MSP :: Low Income Student Math pass rate
Eckstein 80.1 .................. 54.4
Hamilton 70.8 .................. 46.1
Whitman 66.4 .................. 38
Denny 66.8 .................. 59.9
Mercer 60.7 .................. 55.8
Aki K 36.4 .................. 36